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The Fed Decides on Wednesday. What to Expect.
The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision on October 28. Most forecasts expect a pause, with a hike more likely in December.
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Transcript of the video edition
The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision on Wednesday, October twenty-eighth. Here’s what most forecasts expect.
Most forecasts expect the Fed to hold rates steady at three point seven five to four percent. Markets put the odds of a pause at about eighty-three to ninety percent, depending on the source.
The bigger question is December. Markets expect another hike then, because inflation is at three point seven percent. The Fed raised rates in September.
Fed chair Kevin Warsh has not previewed the decision. Watch who disagrees, and what the Fed says about December. That tells you more than the pause itself.
Sources
- PIMCO, Oct 23, 2026: October Fed meeting preview
- Forbes, Oct 19, 2026: what to look for from the Fed’s October meeting
- Raisin and Nora Real Estate market-odds roundups, Oct 2026
- Probabilities differ by source (CME FedWatch, Kalshi) and move daily.
This video edition was scripted with automated tools from the sources listed, narrated by a synthetic voice and published by Daniel Varrone. Corrections: editor@monochromechronicles.com